Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neftekhimik vs Ural

Russia Russia

FNL Neftekhimik Stadium, Nizhnekamsk
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Kharin E. In: Malkevich V.
Out: Kharin E.
65'
Sub
Leo Cordeiro In: Bondarev V.
Out: Leo Cordeiro
65'
Sub
Fourrier B. In: Ishkov I.
Out: Fourrier B.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Neftekhimik and Ural finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ural.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Neftekhimik
20%
Draws
46%
Ural
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ural

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Neftekhimik haven't matched Ural's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 14%
Ural Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftekhimik Ural
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ural
0:1
Nov 15, 2025 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ural
1:0
Sep 8, 2025 FNL
Ural vs Neftekhimik
1:1
Apr 11, 2025 FNL
Ural vs Neftekhimik
3:2
Aug 24, 2024 FNL
Neftekhimik vs Ural
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neftekhimik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ural Compare

Top Goalscorer Ishkov I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftekhimik 35 / 100
Ural 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftekhimik Ural

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ural Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Neftekhimik found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ural conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Neftekhimik went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftekhimik VS Ural
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Neftekhimik

(Home)
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
09 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 1
Neftekhimik
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
28 Aug
Neftekhimik
0 : 1
Ufa
24 Aug
R. Volgograd
0 : 1
Neftekhimik
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Ural

(Away)
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Luki-Energiya
2 : 1
Ural
06 Sept
Ural
2 : 0
Kamaz
29 Aug
Arsenal Tula
2 : 2
Ural
22 Aug
Ural
2 : 0
Tekstilshtik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 12 10 1 1 36:14 31
2 Veles Moscow 12 7 2 3 16:14 23
3 PFC Sochi 11 7 1 3 20:13 22
4 S. Kostroma 10 6 3 1 14:8 21
5 Torpedo Moscow 11 6 2 3 21:9 20
6 Ural 10 5 4 1 17:5 19
7 R. Volgograd 12 5 2 5 20:14 17
8 Ufa 10 4 5 1 15:11 17
9 Shinnik Yaroslavl 10 3 6 1 15:12 15
10 Yenisey 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
11 Arsenal Tula 12 3 4 5 12:22 13
12 Neftekhimik 11 4 0 7 7:14 12
13 Ulyanovsk 10 3 2 5 14:16 11
14 Leningradets 11 2 4 5 9:20 10
15 Chelyabinsk 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
16 Tekstilshtik 12 1 4 7 8:19 7
17 Kamaz 11 1 3 7 10:19 6
18 SKA Khabarovsk 10 1 1 8 10:22 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)