Sport Picks

Russia

FNL Neftekhimik Stadium

Veles Moscow

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neftekhimik play Veles Moscow in the FNL. It looks like a close match. Recently, Neftekhimik averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. Veles Moscow averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. In past meetings, Neftekhimik won 4, Veles Moscow won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 12, 2023 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Neftekhimik and 1.19 for Veles Moscow. This points to a Neftekhimik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Neftekhimik

20%

Draws

39%

Veles Moscow

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Neftekhimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Neftekhimik picked up more points recently compared to Veles Moscow.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Neftekhimik Clean Sheet 20%

Veles Moscow Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Neftekhimik	Veles Moscow
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	11	13
Draws	11	6
Losses	9	9
Goals Scored	1.48	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.35	0.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 FNL

Veles Moscow vs Neftekhimik

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 4 - 0

4:1

Aug 21, 2022 FNL

Neftekhimik vs Veles Moscow

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Mar 19, 2022 FNL

Neftekhimik vs Veles Moscow

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Sep 11, 2021 FNL

Veles Moscow vs Neftekhimik

Possession: 57% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

May 2, 2021 FNL

Neftekhimik vs Veles Moscow

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftekhimik 41 / 100

Veles Moscow 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Neftekhimik Veles Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Neftekhimik or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Neftekhimik attacking → ← attacking Veles Moscow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftekhimik scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Veles Moscow let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Neftekhimik went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Veles Moscow lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 45

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00