Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East efbet Arena

Atletik Kuklen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neftochimic Burgas play Atletik Kuklen in the Third League - South-East. Neftochimic Burgas are favorites here. Recently, Neftochimic Burgas averaged 1.62 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Atletik Kuklen averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Neftochimic Burgas won 1, Atletik Kuklen won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for Neftochimic Burgas and 1.06 for Atletik Kuklen. This points to a Neftochimic Burgas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Neftochimic Burgas

17%

Draws

24%

Atletik Kuklen

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

Neftochimic Burgas picked up more points recently compared to Atletik Kuklen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.06 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 22%

Atletik Kuklen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Atletik Kuklen
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	17	9
Draws	8	2
Losses	4	19
Goals Scored	1.62	1.03
Goals Conceded	0.97	2.33
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Third League - South-East

Neftochimic Burgas vs Atletik Kuklen

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-East

Atletik Kuklen vs Neftochimic Burgas

Possession: 52% - 56% Cards: 4 - 1

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftochimic Burgas 58 / 100

Atletik Kuklen 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Neftochimic Burgas Atletik Kuklen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Neftochimic Burgas & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.6%

1.96

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Neftochimic Burgas attacking → ← attacking Atletik Kuklen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftochimic Burgas scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Atletik Kuklen let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Neftochimic Burgas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Atletik Kuklen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 29

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	116:22	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	90:40	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	53:39	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	72:41	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	64:53	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	64:32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	64:58	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	50:38	54
9	OFC Haskovo	36	15	7	14	52:48	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	52:60	49
11	Rozova Dolina	36	14	6	16	45:52	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	56:59	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	51:70	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	43:78	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	30:53	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	42:82	35
17	Lok. Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	44:53	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	46:94	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	30:92	23