Sport Picks
Neftochimic Burgas vs Lok. Plovdiv II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East efbet Arena, Burgas 
AI Match Summary
Neftochimic Burgas in this Third League - South-East matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neftochimic Burgas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Neftochimic Burgas have won more games recently than Lok. Plovdiv II.
- Win probability leans Neftochimic Burgas's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Neftochimic Burgas have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 18%
Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftochimic Burgas | Lok. Plovdiv II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.79 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2026 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Lok. Plovdiv II
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Neftochimic Burgas
0:3
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Lok. Plovdiv II
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Neftochimic Burgas 85 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Neftochimic Burgas Lok. Plovdiv II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Neftochimic Burgas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Lok. Plovdiv II has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Neftochimic Burgas remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Neftochimic Burgas VS Lok. Plovdiv II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Neftochimic Burgas
(Home) 10 Oct
Rozova Dolina
1 : 3 Neftochimic Burgas
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
26 Sept
Yambol 1915
0 : 2 Neftochimic Burgas
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1 Svoge
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Maritsa Milevo
08 Aug
Neftochimic Burgas
0 : 2 Botev II
Page 1 of 4
Lok. Plovdiv II
(Away) 27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5 Maritsa Milevo
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
5 : 3 Lok. Plovdiv II
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2 Botev II
29 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0 Atletik Kuklen
Page 1 of 6
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
5 : 3 Lok. Plovdiv II
22 Aug
Dimitrovgrad
3 : 1 Lok. Plovdiv II
27 May
Maritsa Milevo
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
17 May
Rodopa Smolyan
2 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv II
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 28:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 24 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 24 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27:12 | 17 |
| 5 | OFC Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Neftochimic Burgas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:13 | 16 |
| 7 | Rodopa Smolyan | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Sozopol | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 20:19 | 13 |
| 10 | Rozova Dolina | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:19 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:25 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 16:27 | 6 |
| 17 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | 5 |
| 18 | Levski Karlovo | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:22 | 3 |
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