Sport Picks

Neftochimic Burgas vs Rodopa Smolyan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East efbet Arena, Burgas

Rodopa Smolyan

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neftochimic Burgas host Rodopa Smolyan in the Third League - South-East. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Neftochimic Burgas have averaged 1.78 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Rodopa Smolyan's 1.54 scored and 1.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Neftochimic Burgas have won 4 to Rodopa Smolyan's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 13, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.06 - 1.38) back Neftochimic Burgas to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Neftochimic Burgas

15%

Draws

28%

Rodopa Smolyan

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Rodopa Smolyan haven't matched Neftochimic Burgas's recent run of results.
Model gives Neftochimic Burgas a 57% chance of winning this.
Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Neftochimic Burgas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 17%

Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Neftochimic Burgas	Rodopa Smolyan
Matches Played	27	28
Wins	17	11
Draws	5	3
Losses	5	14
Goals Scored	1.78	1.54
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.86
Expected Goals (xG)	2.06	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Third League - South-East

Neftochimic Burgas vs Rodopa Smolyan

3:1

Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-East

Rodopa Smolyan vs Neftochimic Burgas

2:0

May 15, 2011 Third League - South-East

Rodopa Smolyan vs Neftochimic Burgas

0:4

Oct 31, 2010 Third League - South-East

Neftochimic Burgas vs Rodopa Smolyan

4:0

Mar 22, 2009 B PFG East

Neftochimic Burgas vs Rodopa Smolyan

4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftochimic Burgas 57 / 100

Rodopa Smolyan 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Neftochimic Burgas Rodopa Smolyan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neftochimic Burgas Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftochimic Burgas's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Rodopa Smolyan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Neftochimic Burgas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Neftochimic Burgas VS Rodopa Smolyan

1.75 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History