Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neftochimic Burgas vs Spartak Plovdiv

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East efbet Arena
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Neftochimic Burgas host Spartak Plovdiv in the Third League - South-East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Spartak Plovdiv have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Neftochimic Burgas have conceded 0.75 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Neftochimic Burgas slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.50 - 1.50) back Neftochimic Burgas to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Neftochimic Burgas
33%
Draws
27%
Spartak Plovdiv
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Neftochimic Burgas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Neftochimic Burgas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Spartak Plovdiv.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Neftochimic Burgas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-East provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Neftochimic Burgas Clean Sheet 16%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neftochimic Burgas Spartak Plovdiv
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 2 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Third League - South-East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Neftochimic Burgas
3:1
May 30, 2009 B PFG East
Neftochimic Burgas vs Spartak Plovdiv
3:0
Nov 16, 2008 B PFG East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Neftochimic Burgas
2:2
Mar 16, 1996 efbet League
Neftochimic Burgas vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neftochimic Burgas 39 / 100
Spartak Plovdiv 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neftochimic Burgas Spartak Plovdiv

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neftochimic Burgas scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Spartak Plovdiv let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Neftochimic Burgas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Spartak Plovdiv lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neftochimic Burgas VS Spartak Plovdiv
2 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar362943116:2291
2Maritsa Plovdiv36236790:4075
3Neftochimic Burgas36199853:3966
4Yambol 1915362061072:4166
5Levski Karlovo362051164:5365
6Maritsa Milevo361791064:3260
7Spartak Plovdiv361591264:5854
8Sozopol361661450:3854
9OFC Haskovo361571452:4852
10Zagorets3613101352:6049
11Rozova Dolina361461645:5248
12Gigant Saedinenie361451756:5947
13Rodopa Smolyan361441851:7046
14Atletik Kuklen361332043:7842
15Sekirovo Rakovski36981930:5335
16Dimitrovgrad361052142:8235
17Lok. Plovdiv II36962144:5333
18Rakovski 201136832546:9427
19Asenovets36652530:9223