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AI Match Summary
Neftochimic Burgas host Spartak Plovdiv in the Third League - South-East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Spartak Plovdiv have shipped 3 goals a game lately, while Neftochimic Burgas have conceded 0.75 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Neftochimic Burgas slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.50 - 1.50) back Neftochimic Burgas to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Neftochimic Burgas has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Spartak Plovdiv.
- Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Neftochimic Burgas.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-East provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neftochimic Burgas | Spartak Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neftochimic Burgas scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Spartak Plovdiv let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Neftochimic Burgas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Spartak Plovdiv lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |