Sport Picks
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Ethio Electric S.C.
Ethiopia
Premier League 
Match Events
20'
20'
Hussien H.
28'
28'
Eboussi P.
37'
37'
Hussien H.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Negele Arsi Ketema FC and Ethio Electric S.C. finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ethio Electric S.C..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ethio Electric S.C. haven't matched Negele Arsi Ketema FC's recent run of results.
- Model gives Negele Arsi Ketema FC a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ethio Electric S.C. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | Ethio Electric S.C. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Premier League
Negele Arsi Ketema FC vs Ethio Electric S.C.
0:2
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Ethio Electric S.C. vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Ethio Electric S.C. Compare
Top Goalscorer Hussien H.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Negele Arsi Ketema FC 46 / 100
Ethio Electric S.C. 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Negele Arsi Ketema FC Ethio Electric S.C.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Negele Arsi Ketema FC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Ethio Electric S.C. has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Negele Arsi Ketema FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Negele Arsi Ketema FC VS Ethio Electric S.C.
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
(Home) 01 Jul
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
3 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
20 Jun
Sidama Bunna
1 : 1 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
04 Jun
Welayta Dicha
0 : 0 Negele Arsi Ketema FC
Page 1 of 7
26 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 0 Ethiopia Nigd Bank
15 Jun
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
2 : 1 Hawassa
21 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Shire Endaselassie
11 May
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
3 : 0 Dire Dawa
30 Apr
Negele Arsi Ketema FC
0 : 0 Fasil Kenema
Page 1 of 3
Ethio Electric S.C.
(Away) 05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
28 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
1 : 1 Hawassa
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 Jun
Ethio Electric S.C.
0 : 0 Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Sidama Bunna
0 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
22 Jun
Welayta Dicha
1 : 2 Ethio Electric S.C.
30 May
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
16 May
Welwalo Adigrat
2 : 1 Ethio Electric S.C.
05 May
Shire Endaselassie
1 : 0 Ethio Electric S.C.
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 43:23 | 68 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema FC | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 37:30 | 60 |
| 3 | Mechal SC | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 4 | Fasil Kenema | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 28:28 | 55 |
| 5 | Ethio Electric S.C. | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 54 |
| 6 | St. Georges | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 33:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Welayta Dicha | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 37:31 | 51 |
| 8 | Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee) | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 40:39 | 51 |
| 9 | Hawassa | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:32 | 50 |
| 10 | Sheger Ketema FC | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 34:31 | 50 |
| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 48 |
| 12 | Hadiya Hossana | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 31:35 | 48 |
| 13 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 45:45 | 47 |
| 14 | Ethiopian Insurance | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 30:31 | 46 |
| 15 | Adama City | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 35:39 | 46 |
| 16 | Welwalo Adigrat | 38 | 10 | 16 | 12 | 32:36 | 46 |
| 17 | Shire Endaselassie | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 24:32 | 42 |
| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | 42 |
| 19 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 26:38 | 40 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | 35 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
