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Negombo Youth vs Matara City

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Champions League 2018/2019 game between Negombo Youth and Matara City finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matara City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Negombo Youth
6%
Draws
90%
Matara City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Matara City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Matara City come out ahead of Negombo Youth on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Matara City taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2018/2019 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%
Matara City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Negombo Youth Matara City
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2019 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Matara City
0:6
Oct 8, 2017 Super League
Matara City vs Negombo Youth
3:2
Aug 3, 2016 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Matara City
4:2
Sep 20, 2015 Super League
Matara City vs Negombo Youth
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Negombo Youth 10 / 100
Matara City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Negombo Youth Matara City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negombo Youth's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Matara City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Negombo Youth stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Negombo Youth VS Matara City
1 Goals Scored 1.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Defenders FC16104235:2534
2Colombo1695240:2032
3Blue Star16102423:1632
4Sea Hawks1693430:1930
5Renown1683529:2027
6Ratnam SC1683523:1927
7UP Country Lions1680830:2224
8Red Star1665531:2123
9Matara City1665525:2423
10Blue Eagles1665518:2023
11Solid1653836:3418
12New Young's SC1652922:2517
13Java Lane1645724:3217
14Pelicans SC1645719:3017
15Saunders16421022:3514
16Crystal Palace1634914:3113
17Negombo Youth16141118:467
18Super Sun00000:00