Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Negombo Youth vs Pelicans SC

Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Champions League 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pelicans SC in this Champions League 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pelicans SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Negombo Youth
6%
Draws
90%
Pelicans SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pelicans SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Negombo Youth haven't matched Pelicans SC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pelicans SC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Negombo Youth Clean Sheet 10%
Pelicans SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Negombo Youth Pelicans SC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 3 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 21, 2018 Super League
Pelicans SC vs Negombo Youth
1:1
Dec 16, 2017 Super League
Negombo Youth vs Pelicans SC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Negombo Youth 10 / 100
Pelicans SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Negombo Youth Pelicans SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Negombo Youth found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Pelicans SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Negombo Youth has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Negombo Youth VS Pelicans SC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colombo17124146:1140
2Renown17124144:1840
3New Young's SC1795334:1532
4Super Sun1794427:1731
5Pelicans SC1785425:1729
6Blue Eagles1777324:1428
7Matara City1776428:1727
8Solid1765626:2823
9Defenders FC1764726:1722
10Saunders1757521:2422
11Sea Hawks1762923:2620
12UP Country Lions1762936:5120
13Blue Star1746718:2718
14Java Lane1745819:3017
15Negombo Youth17521024:4117
16Crystal Palace1744923:3916
17Sri Lanka Police17411218:4113
18Moragasmulla17131319:486