Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Nelas in this Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
30%
35%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Anadia lately — more wins on the board than Nelas.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Anadia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nelas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nelas Clean Sheet 20%
Anadia Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nelas | Anadia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Nelas vs Anadia
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nelas 32 / 100
Anadia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nelas Anadia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Anadia has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Nelas scored in 78% of their last 9 games.
Recent resilience: Nelas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Anadia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nelas
(Home) 18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
Page 1 of 2
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
18 Nov
Nelas
2 : 0 AD Valecambrense
23 Sept
Nelas
4 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
07 Oct
Nelas
1 : 0 Moreirense
Anadia
(Away) 18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0 Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1 CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0 Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3 FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2 Anadia
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0 Anadia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0 Anadia
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2 Anadia
01 Mar
Leca
1 : 1 Anadia
15 Feb
Rebordosa
1 : 0 Anadia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chaves 3
Leca 0
Coimbroes 2
Uniao Da Serra 3
Academica 2
Portimonense 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Beira Mar 4
Nacional 2
Varzim 1
Vila Mea 0
Fatima 3
Tirsense 1
Oliv. Bairro 0
Aljustrelense 1
Pacos Ferreira 3
Pinhalnovense 1
Sintrense 0
Operario 1
Oeiras 6
Vigor Mocidade 4
Cruzado Canicense 1
Paredes 1
Camacha 3
Aliados Lordelo 2
Machico 0
Casa Pia 1
Leixoes 2
Gil Vicente 6
Nelas 1
Padroense 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 2
Esmoriz 1
Maritimo 1
Santa Clara 2
Benfica 6
Monsanto 0
Feirense 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Freamunde 3
Carregado 0
Merelinense 1
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 2
Atletico CP 0
Covilha 0
Braga 1
Sporting CP 3
Penafiel 0
Cinfaes 1
Pescadores Caparica 2
U. Madeira 2
Alcains 0
Vieira 0
Mafra 1
BSAD 3
Oriental 1
Olhanense 1
Valenciano 2
Oliveirense 2
Tondela 1
Sertanense 0
FC Porto 4
1/16-finals
Chaves 2
Uniao Da Serra 0
Academica 1
Beira Mar 2
Nacional 1
Fatima 0
Tirsense 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 2
Oeiras 1
Vigor Mocidade 0
Camacha 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Santa Clara 0
Benfica 0
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Freamunde 3
Leiria 2
Vitoria Setubal 0
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Pescadores Caparica 1
U. Madeira 1
Mafra 2
BSAD 1
Valenciano 0
Oliveirense 0
FC Porto 2
1/8-finals
Chaves 1
Beira Mar 0
Nacional 1
Pacos Ferreira 2
Pinhalnovense 1
Camacha 0
Aliados Lordelo 0
Naval 1
Rio Ave 3
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Freamunde 1
Braga 3
Sporting CP 4
Mafra 3
BSAD 2
FC Porto 3
Quarter-finals
Chaves 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Pinhalnovense 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Braga 0
Sporting CP 2
FC Porto 5
Semi-finals
Chaves 3
Naval 1
Rio Ave 1
FC Porto 7
Final
Chaves 1
FC Porto 2
