Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Nelas in this Taça de Portugal 2009/2010 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Anadia lately — more wins on the board than Nelas.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Anadia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Nelas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Nelas Clean Sheet 20%
Anadia Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nelas | Anadia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 0 | 9 |
| Losses | 4 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2009 Taça de Portugal
Nelas vs Anadia
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nelas 32 / 100
Anadia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nelas Anadia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Anadia has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.
Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.
Nelas scored in 78% of their last 9 games.
Recent resilience: Nelas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Anadia
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nelas
(Home) 18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
Page 1 of 2
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
18 Nov
Nelas
2 : 0 AD Valecambrense
23 Sept
Nelas
4 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
07 Oct
Nelas
1 : 0 Moreirense
Anadia
(Away) 18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0 Anadia
12 Apr
Anadia
2 : 1 CD Gouveia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0 Anadia
22 Mar
Anadia
0 : 3 FC Alpendorada
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2 Anadia
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Vila Mea
0 : 0 Anadia
04 Apr
Uniao Lamas
0 : 0 Anadia
15 Mar
Cinfaes
2 : 2 Anadia
01 Mar
Leca
1 : 1 Anadia
15 Feb
Rebordosa
1 : 0 Anadia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Chaves3
Leca0
Coimbroes2
Uniao Da Serra3
Academica2
Portimonense1
Torre De Moncorvo0
Beira Mar4
Nacional2
Varzim1
Vila Mea0
Fatima3
Tirsense1
Oliv. Bairro0
Aljustrelense1
Pacos Ferreira3
Pinhalnovense1
Sintrense0
Operario1
Oeiras6
Vigor Mocidade4
Cruzado Canicense1
Paredes1
Camacha3
Aliados Lordelo2
Machico0
Casa Pia1
Leixoes2
Gil Vicente6
Nelas1
Padroense0
Naval1
Rio Ave2
Esmoriz1
Maritimo1
Santa Clara2
Benfica6
Monsanto0
Feirense1
Vitoria Guimaraes3
Freamunde3
Carregado0
Merelinense1
Leiria2
Vitoria Setubal2
Atletico CP0
Covilha0
Braga1
Sporting CP3
Penafiel0
Cinfaes1
Pescadores Caparica2
U. Madeira2
Alcains0
Vieira0
Mafra1
BSAD3
Oriental1
Olhanense1
Valenciano2
Oliveirense2
Tondela1
Sertanense0
FC Porto4
1/16-finals
Chaves2
Uniao Da Serra0
Academica1
Beira Mar2
Nacional1
Fatima0
Tirsense0
Pacos Ferreira1
Pinhalnovense2
Oeiras1
Vigor Mocidade0
Camacha1
Aliados Lordelo1
Leixoes0
Gil Vicente2
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Santa Clara0
Benfica0
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Freamunde3
Leiria2
Vitoria Setubal0
Braga3
Sporting CP4
Pescadores Caparica1
U. Madeira1
Mafra2
BSAD1
Valenciano0
Oliveirense0
FC Porto2
1/8-finals
Chaves1
Beira Mar0
Nacional1
Pacos Ferreira2
Pinhalnovense1
Camacha0
Aliados Lordelo0
Naval1
Rio Ave3
Vitoria Guimaraes2
Freamunde1
Braga3
Sporting CP4
Mafra3
BSAD2
FC Porto3
Quarter-finals
Chaves2
Pacos Ferreira1
Pinhalnovense1
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Braga0
Sporting CP2
FC Porto5
Semi-finals
Chaves3
Naval1
Rio Ave1
FC Porto7
Final
Chaves1
FC Porto2