Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Nelas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nelas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Nelas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Nelas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nelas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Nelas Clean Sheet 16%
Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nelas | Vigor Mocidade |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 11 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.56 | 1.09 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.89 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Nelas vs Vigor Mocidade
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nelas 30 / 100
Vigor Mocidade 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nelas Vigor Mocidade
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nelas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Vigor Mocidade conceded in 82% of 11 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Vigor Mocidade has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Nelas found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (9 games).
Scoring Trends
Nelas VS Vigor Mocidade
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nelas
(Home) 18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
Page 1 of 2
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
18 Nov
Nelas
2 : 0 AD Valecambrense
23 Sept
Nelas
4 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
07 Oct
Nelas
1 : 0 Moreirense
Vigor Mocidade
(Away) 02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
11 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 Uniao de Coimbra
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
05 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 CD Ribeira Brava
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 3
02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
18 Oct
Cruzado Canicense
1 : 4 Vigor Mocidade
13 Sept
GD Peniche
0 : 1 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto 2
Chaves 0
Real SC 0
Aves 1
Penafiel 2
Vizela 1
Portimonense 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 4
Torreense 0
Freamunde 0
Anadia 1
Juv. Evora 2
Infesta 1
Messinense 0
Gil Vicente 2
Naval 3
Serzedelo 0
TBD -
Boavista -
Olhanense 2
Carregado 1
Rebordosa 1
Rio Ave 6
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Atletico CP 0
Cova De Piedade 0
Nacional 5
Leiria 2
Nelas 0
Operario 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 3
Academica 1
SC Lusitania 1
Feirense 4
Abrantes 1
Monsanto 0
BSAD 2
Pacos Ferreira 3
Valdevez 1
CU Micaelense 0
Social Lamas 1
Tocha 2
Beira Mar 1
Torre De Moncorvo 0
Machico 0
Moreirense 4
Estrela da Amadora -
TBD -
UD Rio Maior 1
Fatima 2
Camacha 1
Sanjoanense 0
TBD -
Braga -
Maritimo -
TBD -
Mondinense 0
Oliveirense 4
Lagoa 3
Santa Clara 2
Louletano 0
Sporting CP 4
1/16-finals
FC Porto 2
Aves 0
Penafiel 1
Sertanense 2
Leixoes 1
Anadia 0
Juv. Evora 0
Gil Vicente 3
Naval 4
Boavista 1
Olhanense 3
Rio Ave 4
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Nacional 0
Leiria 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Benfica 1
Feirense 0
Abrantes 0
Pacos Ferreira 4
Valdevez 3
Tocha 1
Beira Mar 0
Moreirense 1
Estrela da Amadora 4
Fatima 2
Camacha 2
Braga 3
Maritimo 1
Oliveirense 0
Lagoa 0
Sporting CP 4
1/8-finals
FC Porto 4
Sertanense 0
Leixoes 0
Gil Vicente 1
Naval 3
Rio Ave 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 4
Pacos Ferreira 1
Valdevez 0
Moreirense 3
Estrela da Amadora 1
Braga 0
Maritimo 1
Sporting CP 2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto 1
Gil Vicente 0
Naval 1
Vitoria Setubal 2
Benfica 2
Moreirense 0
Estrela da Amadora 0
Sporting CP 1
Semi-finals
FC Porto 3
Vitoria Setubal 0
Benfica 3
Sporting CP 5
Final
FC Porto 0
Sporting CP 2
