Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Nelas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nelas carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Nelas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Nelas, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Nelas Clean Sheet 16%
Vigor Mocidade Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nelas | Vigor Mocidade |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 11 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 23, 2007 Taça de Portugal
Nelas vs Vigor Mocidade
4:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nelas 30 / 100
Vigor Mocidade 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nelas Vigor Mocidade
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Vigor Mocidade conceded in 82% of 11 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Vigor Mocidade has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Nelas found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (9 games).
Scoring Trends
Nelas VS Vigor Mocidade
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nelas
(Home) 18 Oct
Gil Vicente
6 : 1 Nelas
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
06 Sept
Boavista Sao Mateus
2 : 1 Nelas
09 Dec
Leiria
2 : 0 Nelas
Page 1 of 2
13 Sept
Nelas
1 : 0 Sao Joao de Ver
30 Aug
Nelas
4 : 3 Anadia
18 Nov
Nelas
2 : 0 AD Valecambrense
23 Sept
Nelas
4 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
07 Oct
Nelas
1 : 0 Moreirense
Vigor Mocidade
(Away) 02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
11 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 Uniao de Coimbra
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
05 Sept
Vigor Mocidade
0 : 1 CD Ribeira Brava
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 3
02 Oct
SC Pombal
2 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
06 Sept
Sporting Ideal
3 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
22 Nov
Camacha
1 : 0 Vigor Mocidade
18 Oct
Cruzado Canicense
1 : 4 Vigor Mocidade
13 Sept
GD Peniche
0 : 1 Vigor Mocidade
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
FC Porto2
Chaves0
Real SC0
Aves1
Penafiel2
Vizela1
Portimonense1
Sertanense2
Leixoes4
Torreense0
Freamunde0
Anadia1
Juv. Evora2
Infesta1
Messinense0
Gil Vicente2
Naval3
Serzedelo0
TBD-
Boavista-
Olhanense2
Carregado1
Rebordosa1
Rio Ave6
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Atletico CP0
Cova De Piedade0
Nacional5
Leiria2
Nelas0
Operario0
Vitoria Setubal1
Benfica3
Academica1
SC Lusitania1
Feirense4
Abrantes1
Monsanto0
BSAD2
Pacos Ferreira3
Valdevez1
CU Micaelense0
Social Lamas1
Tocha2
Beira Mar1
Torre De Moncorvo0
Machico0
Moreirense4
Estrela da Amadora-
TBD-
UD Rio Maior1
Fatima2
Camacha1
Sanjoanense0
TBD-
Braga-
Maritimo-
TBD-
Mondinense0
Oliveirense4
Lagoa3
Santa Clara2
Louletano0
Sporting CP4
1/16-finals
FC Porto2
Aves0
Penafiel1
Sertanense2
Leixoes1
Anadia0
Juv. Evora0
Gil Vicente3
Naval4
Boavista1
Olhanense3
Rio Ave4
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Nacional0
Leiria0
Vitoria Setubal1
Benfica1
Feirense0
Abrantes0
Pacos Ferreira4
Valdevez3
Tocha1
Beira Mar0
Moreirense1
Estrela da Amadora4
Fatima2
Camacha2
Braga3
Maritimo1
Oliveirense0
Lagoa0
Sporting CP4
1/8-finals
FC Porto4
Sertanense0
Leixoes0
Gil Vicente1
Naval3
Rio Ave1
Vitoria Guimaraes1
Vitoria Setubal2
Benfica4
Pacos Ferreira1
Valdevez0
Moreirense3
Estrela da Amadora1
Braga0
Maritimo1
Sporting CP2
Quarter-finals
FC Porto1
Gil Vicente0
Naval1
Vitoria Setubal2
Benfica2
Moreirense0
Estrela da Amadora0
Sporting CP1
Semi-finals
FC Porto3
Vitoria Setubal0
Benfica3
Sporting CP5
Final
FC Porto0
Sporting CP2