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Nelson vs Miramar

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2000
Nelson Logo

Nelson

1 - 2
FT
Miramar Logo

Miramar

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2000 game between Nelson and Miramar finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Miramar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nelson
35%
Draws
35%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nelson haven't matched Miramar's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Nelson Clean Sheet 18%
Miramar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nelson Miramar
Matches Played 18 40
Wins 6 18
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 1.78 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2000 Football Championship
Nelson vs Miramar
1:2
Apr 9, 2000 Football Championship
Miramar vs Nelson
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nelson 32 / 100
Miramar 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nelson Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Miramar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nelson's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Miramar has conceded goals in 85% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Nelson remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Miramar
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nelson

(Home)
13 Aug
Nelson
3 : 3
Napier City
06 Aug
Dunedin
1 : 1
Nelson
23 Jul
Nelson
4 : 3
Metro
16 Jul
Waitakere City
2 : 2
Nelson
09 Jul
Nelson
0 : 2
Manawatu
Page 1 of 4

Miramar

(Away)
26 Sept
Napier City
1 : 1
Miramar
26 Jul
Cashmere Technical
2 : 1
Miramar
04 Jul
Island Bay
1 : 3
Miramar
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1
Miramar
29 Nov
Miramar
2 : 1
Western Suburbs
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 University Wellington 18 11 4 3 35:22 37
2 Napier City 18 9 4 5 37:20 31
3 Dunedin 18 8 3 7 32:26 27
4 Manawatu 18 8 3 7 31:28 27
5 Waitakere City 18 7 3 8 37:34 24
6 Nelson 18 6 6 6 32:37 24
7 Central United 18 7 2 9 29:28 23
8 Miramar 18 6 5 7 28:33 23
9 Christchurch 18 4 6 8 23:35 18
10 Metro 18 5 2 11 23:44 17
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