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NEO vs Watergraafsmeer Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with NEO advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
NEO
15%
Draws
33%
Watergraafsmeer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NEO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Watergraafsmeer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans NEO's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Watergraafsmeer arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor NEO, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
NEO Clean Sheet 17%
Watergraafsmeer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEO Watergraafsmeer
Matches Played 4 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 0 4
Losses 1 17
Goals Scored 1.75 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Derde Divisie
Watergraafsmeer vs NEO
2:3
May 27, 2026 Derde Divisie
NEO vs Watergraafsmeer
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEO 57 / 100
Watergraafsmeer 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEO Watergraafsmeer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Watergraafsmeer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

NEO scored in 75% of their last 4 games.

Solid form: NEO remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NEO VS Watergraafsmeer
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

NEO

(Home)
07 Jun
TEC
3 : 0
NEO
03 Jun
NEO
1 : 0
TEC
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer

Watergraafsmeer

(Away)
23 Sept
Watergraafsmeer
5 : 4
TEC
02 Sept
Dongen
2 : 4
Watergraafsmeer
30 May
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 3
NEO
27 May
NEO
3 : 0
Watergraafsmeer
07 Jun
Watergraafsmeer
2 : 2
Excelsior 31
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
HVV Hollandia 5
Huizen 3
HBC 4
Flevo Boys 2
Heino 0
TEC 2
NEO 6
Watergraafsmeer 2
HV & CV Quick 4
EVV 5
FC 's-Gravenzande 2
SteDoCo 4
Valkenswaard 5
VV Heerjansdam 8
Dongen 2
SVV Scheveningen 1
Final
HVV Hollandia 3
HBC 0
TEC 3
NEO 1
EVV 2
SteDoCo 1
VV Heerjansdam 2
Dongen 3