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Neom SC vs Al Fayha Prediction & H2H Stats

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk
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Match Events

26' Event
Kone A.
Assist: Benrahma S.
33'
Sub
Jason Remeseiro In: Al Harthi N.
Out: Jason Remeseiro
36' Event
Benrahma S.
Assist: Lacazette A.

AI Match Summary

Neom SC in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Neom SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Neom SC
30%
Draws
28%
Al Fayha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Neom SC have won more games recently than Al Fayha.
  • Win probability leans Neom SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Neom SC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Fayha
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Fayha
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Fayha
1:0
Feb 25, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Neom SC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benrahma S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Fayha Compare

Top Goalscorer Hugo Moura
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 85 / 100
Al Fayha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Fayha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neom SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neom SC scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Al Fayha conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Neom SC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neom SC VS Al Fayha
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neom SC

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0
Neom SC
24 Aug
Neom SC
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
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Al Fayha

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0
Al Fayha
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2
Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2
Abha
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fayha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)