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Neom SC vs Al Hazem Rass

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neom SC play Al Hazem Rass in the Saudi Professional League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Neom SC averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Al Hazem Rass averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Neom SC won 3, Al Hazem Rass won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 28, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Neom SC and 1.38 for Al Hazem Rass. This points to a Neom SC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Neom SC
25%
Draws
35%
Al Hazem Rass
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Neom SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Neom SC picked up more points recently compared to Al Hazem Rass.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 17%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Hazem Rass
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Hazem Rass
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Neom SC
1:2
Sep 23, 2025 King Cup
Al Hazem Rass vs Neom SC
2:1
Feb 24, 2025 Division 1
Al Hazem Rass vs Neom SC
0:2
Oct 5, 2024 Division 1
Neom SC vs Al Hazem Rass
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benrahma S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Hazem Rass Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shanqiti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 39 / 100
Al Hazem Rass 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Hazem Rass

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Neom SC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Neom SC attacking → ← attacking Al Hazem Rass

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neom SC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Al Hazem Rass let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Neom SC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Hazem Rass lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 37
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616