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Neom SC vs Al Hazem Rass

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Khalid Sports City
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Benrahma S.
Assist: Kone A.
45' Event
Lacazette A.
Penalty Missed
51'
Zeze N.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Neom SC and Al Hazem Rass finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Neom SC
39%
Draws
31%
Al Hazem Rass
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Neom SC haven't matched Al Hazem Rass's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Neom SC Clean Sheet 18%
Al Hazem Rass Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neom SC Al Hazem Rass
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Neom SC vs Al Hazem Rass
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hazem Rass vs Neom SC
1:2
Sep 23, 2025 King Cup
Al Hazem Rass vs Neom SC
2:1
Feb 24, 2025 Division 1
Al Hazem Rass vs Neom SC
0:2
Oct 5, 2024 Division 1
Neom SC vs Al Hazem Rass
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neom SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Benrahma S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Hazem Rass Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Shanqiti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neom SC 31 / 100
Al Hazem Rass 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neom SC Al Hazem Rass

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hazem Rass's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Neom SC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Neom SC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neom SC VS Al Hazem Rass
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616