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Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship U20
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Manik M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nepal U20
15%
Draws
39%
Bangladesh U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Bangladesh U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nepal U20 a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Bangladesh U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bangladesh U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Bangladesh U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U20 Bangladesh U20
Matches Played 20 24
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.15 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20
0:1
Aug 28, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20
1:4
Aug 22, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20
2:1
Sep 18, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
Nepal U20 vs Bangladesh U20
0:3
Aug 2, 2022 SAFF Championship U20
Bangladesh U20 vs Nepal U20
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bangladesh U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Manik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U20 75 / 100
Bangladesh U20 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U20 Bangladesh U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U20's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bangladesh U20 conceded in 71% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Nepal U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nepal U20 VS Bangladesh U20
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U20

(Home)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

Bangladesh U20

(Away)
06 Sept
India U20
3 : 0
Bangladesh U20
03 Sept
Bangladesh U20
0 : 3
Syria U20
31 Aug
Uzbekistan U20
2 : 0
Bangladesh U20
03 Apr
Bangladesh U20
1 : 0
India U20
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Nepal U20 0
Bangladesh U20 1
India U20 5
Bhutan U20 0
Final
Bangladesh U20 1
India U20 0