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Nepal U20 vs Bhutan U20

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship U20 2024 Dasharath Rangasala, Kathmandu
Sun, Aug 25, 2024
2 - 1
09:15 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Dorji J.
76'
Tenzin K.
76'
Tenzin K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Nepal U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nepal U20
15%
Draws
39%
Bhutan U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nepal U20 come out ahead of Bhutan U20 on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Nepal U20 taking it.
  • Nepal U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nepal U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nepal U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nepal U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Bhutan U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U20 Bhutan U20
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 8 4
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.15 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.35 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 SAFF Championship U20
Bhutan U20 vs Nepal U20
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 SAFF Championship U20
Nepal U20 vs Bhutan U20
2:1
Sep 10, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
Bhutan U20 vs Nepal U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dhami J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bhutan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorji J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U20 42 / 100
Bhutan U20 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U20 Bhutan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nepal U20 scored in 65% of their last 20 outings.

Bhutan U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 18 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Recent resilience: Nepal U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nepal U20 VS Bhutan U20
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U20

(Home)
01 Apr
Nepal U20
0 : 1
Bangladesh U20
27 Mar
Maldives U20
1 : 1
Nepal U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
23 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Nepal U20
27 Sept
Bahrain U20
4 : 0
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

Bhutan U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Bhutan U20
7 : 0
Macau U20
03 Sept
Bhutan U20
1 : 2
Chinese Taipei U20
31 Aug
Singapore U20
3 : 1
Bhutan U20
01 Apr
India U20
5 : 0
Bhutan U20
27 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Nepal U20 2
Bhutan U20 1
India U20 1
Bangladesh U20 2
Final
Nepal U20 1
Bangladesh U20 4