Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nepal U23 vs Afghanistan U23

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Khorami S.
34' Event
Haydary O.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U23 2020 game between Nepal U23 and Afghanistan U23 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afghanistan U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nepal U23
15%
Draws
85%
Afghanistan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afghanistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nepal U23 come out ahead of Afghanistan U23 on wins alone.
  • Afghanistan U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U23 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19.6%
Nepal U23 Clean Sheet 12%
Afghanistan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U23 Afghanistan U23
Matches Played 27 19
Wins 4 3
Draws 1 2
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0.48 0.47
Goals Conceded 3 2.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Nepal U23 vs Afghanistan U23
0:2
Mar 25, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23
Afghanistan U23 vs Nepal U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Afghanistan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khorami S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haydary O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U23 10 / 100
Afghanistan U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U23 Afghanistan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afghanistan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afghanistan U23 let in goals in 79% of their last 19 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Afghanistan U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Nepal U23 found the back of the net in 26% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Nepal U23 VS Afghanistan U23
0.63 Goals Scored 0.13
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Nepal U23
2 : 4
Syria U23
03 Sept
Tajikistan U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
31 Oct
Lebanon U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
28 Oct
Nepal U23
0 : 6
Tajikistan U23
Page 1 of 6

Afghanistan U23

(Away)
09 Sept
Myanmar U23
1 : 2
Afghanistan U23
06 Sept
Afghanistan U23
0 : 1
Kuwait U23
03 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Afghanistan U23
12 Sept
Hong Kong U23
0 : 0
Afghanistan U23
09 Sept
Afghanistan U23
0 : 4
Iran U23
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Oman U23 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Iran U23 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
4 Yemen U23 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Maldives U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Syria U23 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
4 Pakistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Singapore U23 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 16:3 7
2 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
3 Cambodia U23 3 0 1 2 2:13 1
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:16 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 3:17 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 15:2 7
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:16 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)