Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nepal U23 vs Bhutan U23

World World

Friendly International 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Shrestha K.
51' Event
Shrestha K.
66' Event
Rijal A.

AI Match Summary

Nepal U23 in this Friendly International 2019 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nepal U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Nepal U23
15%
Draws
85%
Bhutan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bhutan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Bhutan U23 at 1 per game, Nepal U23 at 0.48.
  • Bhutan U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.2%
Nepal U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Bhutan U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nepal U23 Bhutan U23
Matches Played 27 10
Wins 4 4
Draws 1 0
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.48 1
Goals Conceded 3 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2019 Friendly International
Nepal U23 vs Bhutan U23
2:1
Dec 3, 2019 Friendly International
Nepal U23 vs Bhutan U23
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nepal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shrestha K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rijal A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Bhutan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nepal U23 23 / 100
Bhutan U23 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nepal U23 Bhutan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bhutan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bhutan U23 let in goals in 80% of their last 10 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Bhutan U23's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Nepal U23 found the back of the net in 26% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Nepal U23 VS Bhutan U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nepal U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Philippines U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
06 Sept
Nepal U23
2 : 4
Syria U23
03 Sept
Tajikistan U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
31 Oct
Lebanon U23
4 : 0
Nepal U23
28 Oct
Nepal U23
0 : 6
Tajikistan U23
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Bhutan U23

(Away)
28 Mar
India U23
5 : 0
Bhutan U23
25 Mar
Bhutan U23
0 : 1
Tajikistan U23
09 Sept
Chinese Taipei U23
1 : 3
Bhutan U23
06 Sept
Bhutan U23
0 : 2
Turkmenistan U23
03 Sept
Jordan U23
11 : 0
Bhutan U23
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