Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Sub
Aiman A. In: Halim F.
Out: Aiman A.
56'
56'
Halim F.
Assist: Rasid S.
64'
64'
Bista A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
15%
76%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malaysia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ Very High Confidence
- Malaysia have won more games recently than Nepal.
- Model gives Malaysia a 76% chance of winning this.
- Malaysia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Malaysia, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Malaysia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Nepal Clean Sheet 18%
Malaysia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nepal | Malaysia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.71 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 18, 2025 Asian Cup
Nepal vs Malaysia
0:1
Mar 25, 2025 Asian Cup
Malaysia vs Nepal
0:3
Mar 15, 2024 Friendly International
Malaysia vs Nepal
5:1
Jun 2, 2019 Friendly International
Malaysia vs Nepal
2:0
Oct 15, 2008 Friendly International
Malaysia vs Nepal
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nepal Compare
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Malaysia Compare
Top Goalscorer Halim F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nepal 20 / 100
Malaysia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nepal Malaysia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Malaysia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Nepal scored in 48% of their last 31 outings.
Nepal went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nepal VS Malaysia
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nepal
(Home) 31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1 Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1 Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2 Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1 Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1 Nepal
Page 1 of 7
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1 Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1 Malaysia
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1 Vietnam
06 Sept
Nepal
0 : 0 Bangladesh
16 Nov
Nepal
2 : 0 Afghanistan
Page 1 of 3
Malaysia
(Away) 08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0 Philippines
01 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0 Malaysia
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0 Laos
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2 Malaysia
31 Mar
Vietnam
3 : 1 Malaysia
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0 Malaysia
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2 Malaysia
31 Mar
Vietnam
3 : 1 Malaysia
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1 Malaysia
09 Oct
Laos
0 : 3 Malaysia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tajikistan | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:3 | 14 |
| 2 | Philippines | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 3 | Maldives | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:13 | 3 |
| 4 | Timor-Leste | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yemen | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Lebanon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:2 | 13 |
| 3 | Bhutan | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:16 | 4 |
| 4 | Brunei | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:22 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Singapore | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 2 | Hong Kong | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Bangladesh | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 4 | India | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thailand | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Turkmenistan | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Sri Lanka | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinese Taipei | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5:19 | 0 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Syria | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 21:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Myanmar | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | 12 |
| 3 | Afghanistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 2 |
| 4 | Pakistan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:11 | 2 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 18 |
| 2 | Malaysia | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Laos | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Nepal | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5:8 | 3 |
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)
