Sport Picks
Neptunas vs Dainava Alytus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Neptunas host Dainava Alytus in the I Lyga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Dainava Alytus have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Neptunas have conceded 1.28 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Dainava Alytus slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 27, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.13) point toward Dainava Alytus. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Dainava Alytus lately — more wins on the board than Neptunas.
- Win probability leans Dainava Alytus's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Dainava Alytus have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Neptunas | Dainava Alytus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Neptunas's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.
Dainava Alytus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.
Solid form: Neptunas remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Neptunas
(Home)Dainava Alytus
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Babrungas | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 52:13 | 70 |
| 2 | FK Minija | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 71:18 | 67 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 50:27 | 57 |
| 4 | Zalgiris 2 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 44:36 | 49 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 42:41 | 46 |
| 6 | Neptunas | 28 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 33:35 | 44 |
| 7 | Dainava Alytus | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:29 | 44 |
| 8 | Tauras Taurage | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 48:37 | 44 |
| 9 | FK Atmosfera | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 43:35 | 37 |
| 10 | Garliava | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 34:32 | 32 |
| 11 | Jonava | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 31:38 | 30 |
| 12 | Transinvest 2 | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 35:61 | 28 |
| 13 | FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 18 | 27:45 | 28 |
| 14 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 31:67 | 23 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 28 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 29:62 | 18 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 31:65 | 17 |