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Neptunas vs Ekranas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neptunas host Ekranas in the I Lyga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Neptunas at 1.13 goals for, 1.2 against; Ekranas at 1 for, 2.34 against. Head-to-head, Neptunas have won 5 to Ekranas's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 5, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.25, favoring Neptunas. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Neptunas
15%
Draws
49%
Ekranas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ekranas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Neptunas lately — more wins on the board than Ekranas.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Neptunas taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Neptunas have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 19%
Ekranas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neptunas Ekranas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Neptunas
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Ekranas
2:1
Jun 1, 2025 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Neptunas
1:2
Jul 26, 2024 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Ekranas
3:2
Apr 13, 2024 I Lyga
Ekranas vs Neptunas
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neptunas 49 / 100
Ekranas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neptunas Ekranas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neptunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ekranas conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Neptunas scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Ekranas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Neptunas VS Ekranas
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neptunas

(Home)
16 Oct
BE1 NFA
2 : 0
Neptunas
10 Oct
Neptunas
0 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

Ekranas

(Away)
16 Oct
Ekranas
1 : 3
Dainava Alytus
10 Oct
Transinvest 2
1 : 1
Ekranas
19 Sept
Ekranas
2 : 6
Siauliai 2
12 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
2 : 1
Ekranas
05 Sept
Ekranas
1 : 0
Garliava
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Babrungas 27 21 4 2 48:13 67
2 FK Minija 26 22 1 3 70:16 67
3 BE1 NFA 26 17 3 6 48:26 54
4 Zalgiris 2 27 14 4 9 42:36 46
5 Neptunas 27 14 2 11 33:33 44
6 Dainava Alytus 27 12 8 7 40:28 44
7 Tauras Taurage 26 13 5 8 47:35 44
8 BFA Vilnius 27 13 4 10 40:40 43
9 FK Atmosfera 26 9 7 10 40:35 34
10 Garliava 27 9 5 13 34:30 32
11 Jonava 27 8 6 13 31:35 30
12 Transinvest 2 27 7 4 16 32:59 25
13 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 27 7 2 18 26:48 23
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 27 7 2 18 31:63 23
15 Siauliai 2 27 4 6 17 32:62 18
16 Ekranas 27 4 3 20 27:62 15
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)