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Neptunas vs Hegelmann Litauen 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Pasilys D.

AI Match Summary

Hegelmann Litauen 2 in this I Lyga matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hegelmann Litauen 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Neptunas
15%
Draws
42%
Hegelmann Litauen 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neptunas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Neptunas have won more games recently than Hegelmann Litauen 2.
  • Model gives Neptunas a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Neptunas Clean Sheet 20%
Hegelmann Litauen 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neptunas Hegelmann Litauen 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.27 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
0:1
May 22, 2026 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Neptunas
2:3
Oct 31, 2025 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Neptunas
0:1
Jun 22, 2025 I Lyga
Neptunas vs Hegelmann Litauen 2
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 I Lyga
Hegelmann Litauen 2 vs Neptunas
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neptunas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Hegelmann Litauen 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pasilys D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neptunas 67 / 100
Hegelmann Litauen 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neptunas Hegelmann Litauen 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neptunas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Neptunas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Hegelmann Litauen 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Neptunas VS Hegelmann Litauen 2
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neptunas

(Home)
19 Sept
FK Minija
2 : 1
Neptunas
11 Sept
Neptunas
2 : 0
Jonava
07 Sept
Zalgiris 2
1 : 0
Neptunas
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
BFA Vilnius
2 : 0
Neptunas
Page 1 of 6

Hegelmann Litauen 2

(Away)
18 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
0 : 1
Dainava Alytus
11 Sept
Transinvest 2
4 : 1
Hegelmann Litauen 2
04 Sept
Hegelmann Litauen 2
5 : 1
Siauliai 2
29 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 0
Hegelmann Litauen 2
21 Aug
Hegelmann Litauen 2
3 : 2
Ekranas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Minija 25 22 1 2 68:13 67
2 FK Babrungas 25 19 4 2 43:11 61
3 BE1 NFA 25 16 3 6 46:26 51
4 Zalgiris 2 26 14 4 8 40:33 46
5 Neptunas 25 14 2 9 33:30 44
6 BFA Vilnius 26 13 4 9 40:37 43
7 Tauras Taurage 25 13 4 8 43:31 43
8 Dainava Alytus 26 11 8 7 37:27 41
9 FK Atmosfera 24 8 6 10 37:33 30
10 Garliava 25 8 4 13 31:28 28
11 Jonava 25 7 6 12 28:33 27
12 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2 26 7 2 17 26:46 23
13 Transinvest 2 25 6 3 16 29:58 21
14 Hegelmann Litauen 2 25 6 1 18 26:59 19
15 Siauliai 2 26 4 6 16 30:59 18
16 Ekranas 25 4 2 19 25:58 14
Promotion - TOPLYGA 2027 (Main)
Promotion - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga (Relegation)