Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neratovice vs Varnsdorf

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B Fotbalovy areal Neratovice, Neratovice
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Matviychuk I.
45'
Hora J.
46'
Sub
Safir L. In: Barta S.
Out: Safir L.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B game between Neratovice and Varnsdorf finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varnsdorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Neratovice
20%
Draws
57%
Varnsdorf
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varnsdorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Neratovice haven't matched Varnsdorf's recent run of results.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Neratovice taking it.
  • Regular 3. CFL - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Varnsdorf here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Neratovice Clean Sheet 10%
Varnsdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neratovice Varnsdorf
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.77 2.24
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Neratovice vs Varnsdorf
1:2
Apr 12, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Varnsdorf vs Neratovice
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Neratovice vs Varnsdorf
4:3
Aug 11, 2021 MOL Cup
Neratovice vs Varnsdorf
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Neratovice Compare

Top Goalscorer Sladovnik F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Varnsdorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Matviychuk I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Emmer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neratovice 83 / 100
Varnsdorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neratovice Varnsdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neratovice Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Neratovice found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Varnsdorf has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Neratovice remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neratovice VS Varnsdorf
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Neratovice

(Home)
16 Sept
Neratovice
0 : 4
Slovacko
12 Sept
Neratovice
0 : 4
Banik Most-Sous
06 Sept
Hradec Kralove B
0 : 0
Neratovice
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
26 Aug
Benatky n. Jiz.
1 : 2
Neratovice
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Varnsdorf

(Away)
16 Sept
Varnsdorf
1 : 5
Slavia Prague
12 Sept
Zapy
4 : 4
Varnsdorf
06 Sept
Varnsdorf
3 : 1
Velke Hamry
29 Aug
Neratovice
1 : 2
Varnsdorf
25 Aug
Varnsdorf
1 : 0
Usti nad Labem
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zapy 6 4 2 0 18:8 14
2 Jablonec B 6 3 3 0 14:4 12
3 Pardubice B 6 3 2 1 13:5 11
4 Mlada Boleslav B 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
5 Varnsdorf 5 3 1 1 11:9 10
6 Teplice B 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
7 Banik Most-Sous 5 3 0 2 11:3 9
8 Benatky n. Jiz. 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
9 Hradec Kralove B 6 1 4 1 3:3 7
10 Brozany 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
11 Chrudim 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
12 Horni Redice 5 2 0 3 3:11 6
13 Neratovice 6 1 2 3 4:14 5
14 Liberec B 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
15 Caslav 5 0 2 3 2:12 2
16 Velke Hamry 6 0 1 5 2:16 1
Promotion - 3. CFL - Group A (Play Offs)