Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neretva vs GOSK Dubrovnik

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Neretva and GOSK Dubrovnik finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GOSK Dubrovnik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Neretva
15%
Draws
26%
GOSK Dubrovnik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Neretva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Neretva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Neretva taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • GOSK Dubrovnik have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Neretva Clean Sheet 20%
GOSK Dubrovnik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretva GOSK Dubrovnik
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretva vs GOSK Dubrovnik
0:1
Sep 18, 2021 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Neretva
2:0
May 15, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretva vs GOSK Dubrovnik
1:2
Oct 28, 2020 3. HNL South
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Neretva
2:0
Feb 13, 2019 Club Friendly
GOSK Dubrovnik vs Neretva
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretva 85 / 100
GOSK Dubrovnik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretva GOSK Dubrovnik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Neretva Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neretva's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: GOSK Dubrovnik conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Neretva stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neretva VS GOSK Dubrovnik
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretva

(Home)
22 Aug
Neretva
5 : 2
Otocac
16 Sept
Neretva
1 : 2
Istra 1961
27 Aug
Neretva
6 : 2
Zadrugar Oprisavci
31 Aug
Neretva
0 : 2
Grobnican
28 May
Neretva
1 : 0
Kamen Podbablje
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GOSK Dubrovnik

(Away)
24 Jan
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2
Jadran Luka Ploce
28 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 2
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
08 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)