Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neretvanac vs RNK Split

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RNK Split in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored RNK Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Neretvanac
28%
Draws
50%
RNK Split
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: RNK Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RNK Split lately — more wins on the board than Neretvanac.
  • RNK Split are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and RNK Split have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 14%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretvanac RNK Split
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs RNK Split
2:3
Oct 3, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Neretvanac
2:1
May 1, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Neretvanac
1:0
Oct 18, 2020 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs RNK Split
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretvanac 23 / 100
RNK Split 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretvanac RNK Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RNK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neretvanac's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

RNK Split let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Neretvanac went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neretvanac VS RNK Split
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretvanac

(Home)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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RNK Split

(Away)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)