Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Neretvanac vs RNK Split

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

RNK Split in this 3. HNL South matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored RNK Split.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Neretvanac
20%
Draws
51%
RNK Split
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RNK Split

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RNK Split lately — more wins on the board than Neretvanac.
  • RNK Split are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and RNK Split have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 14%
RNK Split Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretvanac RNK Split
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs RNK Split
2:3
Oct 3, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Neretvanac
2:1
May 1, 2021 3. HNL South
RNK Split vs Neretvanac
1:0
Oct 18, 2020 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs RNK Split
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretvanac 23 / 100
RNK Split 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretvanac RNK Split

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RNK Split Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Neretvanac's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

RNK Split let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Neretvanac went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Neretvanac VS RNK Split
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretvanac

(Home)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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RNK Split

(Away)
14 Feb
RNK Split
1 : 3
Din. Zagreb
19 Oct
RNK Split
2 : 0
Cibalia
27 Jul
Dugopolje
1 : 0
RNK Split
28 May
Primorac Biograd
1 : 1
RNK Split
21 May
RNK Split
1 : 0
GOSK Dubrovnik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)