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Neretvanac vs Urania Baska Voda Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Neretvanac and Urania Baska Voda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Neretvanac.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Neretvanac
15%
Draws
59%
Urania Baska Voda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Urania Baska Voda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Neretvanac haven't matched Urania Baska Voda's recent run of results.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Neretvanac Clean Sheet 10%
Urania Baska Voda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Neretvanac Urania Baska Voda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 6 2
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2022 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Urania Baska Voda
2:0
Sep 19, 2021 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Neretvanac
0:3
Apr 14, 2021 3. HNL South
Neretvanac vs Urania Baska Voda
0:3
Sep 27, 2020 3. HNL South
Urania Baska Voda vs Neretvanac
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Neretvanac 34 / 100
Urania Baska Voda 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Neretvanac Urania Baska Voda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Urania Baska Voda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Urania Baska Voda let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Neretvanac's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Neretvanac remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Neretvanac VS Urania Baska Voda
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Neretvanac

(Home)
18 Sept
Neretvanac
1 : 3
Rijeka
28 Aug
Neretvanac
2 : 0
Bedem Ivankovo
28 May
Jadran Luka Ploce
5 : 0
Neretvanac
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
Primorac Biograd
2 : 1
Neretvanac
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Urania Baska Voda

(Away)
25 Sept
Urania Baska Voda
1 : 4
Hajduk Split
28 May
Uskok Klis
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
22 May
Urania Baska Voda
0 : 3
Jadran Luka Ploce
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
08 May
Urania Baska Voda
3 : 1
Primorac Biograd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)