Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NEROCA vs Bengaluru United

India India

I-League 2 2024/2025 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium, Imphal
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Tyagi A.
84' Event
Joseph H.

AI Match Summary

Bengaluru United in this I-League 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bengaluru United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
NEROCA
30%
Draws
47%
Bengaluru United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bengaluru United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • NEROCA haven't matched Bengaluru United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bengaluru United's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bengaluru United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 15%
Bengaluru United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA Bengaluru United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.66 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 I-League 2
Bengaluru United vs NEROCA
2:1
Mar 20, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs Bengaluru United
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 I-League 2
Bengaluru United vs NEROCA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Bengaluru United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyagi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 11 / 100
Bengaluru United 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA Bengaluru United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bengaluru United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEROCA's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Bengaluru United let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: NEROCA remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS Bengaluru United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

NEROCA

(Home)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
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Bengaluru United

(Away)
15 May
MYJ-GMSC
1 : 1
Bengaluru United
08 May
Bengaluru United
4 : 1
SC Goa
03 May
Bengaluru United
3 : 1
Delhi FC
27 Apr
Sudeva Delhi
1 : 0
Bengaluru United
21 Apr
Karbi Anglong
0 : 1
Bengaluru United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diamond Harbour 16 11 5 0 28:10 38
2 Chanmari 16 10 3 3 36:10 33
3 SC Goa 16 7 5 4 18:12 26
4 Bengaluru United 16 6 5 5 21:11 23
5 SAT Tirur 16 6 4 6 21:23 22
6 United SC 16 5 6 5 15:17 21
7 NEROCA 16 5 2 9 17:27 17
8 TRAU FC 16 3 3 10 14:30 12
9 KLASA 16 2 1 13 8:38 7
Promotion - I-League (Main)