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NEROCA vs Bengaluru United

India India

I-League 2 2024/2025 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Tyagi A.
84' Event
Joseph H.

AI Match Summary

Bengaluru United in this I-League 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bengaluru United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
NEROCA
11%
Draws
80%
Bengaluru United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bengaluru United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • NEROCA haven't matched Bengaluru United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Bengaluru United's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bengaluru United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 17%
Bengaluru United Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA Bengaluru United
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 I-League 2
Bengaluru United vs NEROCA
2:1
Mar 20, 2025 I-League 2
NEROCA vs Bengaluru United
0:2
Feb 1, 2025 I-League 2
Bengaluru United vs NEROCA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bengaluru United Compare

Top Goalscorer Tyagi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 12 / 100
Bengaluru United 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA Bengaluru United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NEROCA's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Bengaluru United let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: NEROCA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS Bengaluru United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diamond Harbour16115028:1038
2Chanmari16103336:1033
3SC Goa1675418:1226
4Bengaluru United1665521:1123
5SAT Tirur1664621:2322
6United SC1656515:1721
7NEROCA1652917:2717
8TRAU FC16331014:3012
9KLASA1621138:387