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NEROCA vs Chennai City FC

India India

I-League 2020/2021 Khuman Lampak Main Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Pasha S.
Penalty Missed
24' Event
Avdic D.
Assist: Molerovic V.
46'
Sub
Dhaka S. R. In: Sahib A.
Out: Dhaka S. R.

AI Match Summary

The I-League 2020/2021 game between NEROCA and Chennai City FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chennai City FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
NEROCA
40%
Draws
29%
Chennai City FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and NEROCA come out ahead of Chennai City FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 18%
Chennai City FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA Chennai City FC
Matches Played 34 21
Wins 8 6
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2021 I-League
NEROCA vs Chennai City FC
1:2
Feb 9, 2021 I-League
NEROCA vs Chennai City FC
1:2
Mar 14, 2020 I-League
NEROCA vs Chennai City FC
2:2
Dec 21, 2019 I-League
Chennai City FC vs NEROCA
2:2
Feb 11, 2019 I-League
NEROCA vs Chennai City FC
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NEROCA Compare

Top Goalscorer Romtan Singh O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Chennai City FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Avdic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hussain I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 32 / 100
Chennai City FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA Chennai City FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chennai City FC let in goals in 81% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

NEROCA scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Away concern: Chennai City FC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%