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NEROCA vs Indian Navy

India India

Durand Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Meitei W. R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Durand Cup 2025 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
NEROCA
20%
Draws
44%
Indian Navy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indian Navy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to NEROCA lately — more wins on the board than Indian Navy.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • NEROCA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Indian Navy, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 19%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA Indian Navy
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 7 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Durand Cup
NEROCA vs Indian Navy
0:2
Aug 7, 2025 Durand Cup
NEROCA vs Indian Navy
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 36 / 100
Indian Navy 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA Indian Navy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indian Navy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indian Navy let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Attacking prowess: NEROCA scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: NEROCA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Indian Navy's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS Indian Navy
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

NEROCA

(Home)
12 Aug
NEROCA
3 : 1
Raengdai
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
Page 1 of 6

Indian Navy

(Away)
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1
Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0
Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1
Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2
Indian Navy
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namdhari 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 6:13 1
4 South United 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Diamond Harbour 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Border Security Force 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamshedpur 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Army Red 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 1 Ladakh 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodoland FC 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Minerva Punjab 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Indo-Tibetan Border Police 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Lajong 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 ATM FA 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Rangdajied United 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indian Navy 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Real Kashmir 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 NEROCA 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 TRAU FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams