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NEROCA vs Raengdai

India India

Durand Cup
Wed, Aug 12, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Durand Cup. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: NEROCA at 1.07 goals for, 1.68 against; Raengdai at 1.82 for, 1.09 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.81, favoring Raengdai. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
NEROCA
20%
Draws
69%
Raengdai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Raengdai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Raengdai have won more games recently than NEROCA.
  • Raengdai are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Raengdai arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
NEROCA Clean Sheet 11%
Raengdai Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NEROCA Raengdai
Matches Played 28 11
Wins 6 7
Draws 7 2
Losses 15 2
Goals Scored 1.07 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NEROCA 14 / 100
Raengdai 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NEROCA Raengdai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NEROCA scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Raengdai conceded in 64% of 11 recent games.

NEROCA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Raengdai registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NEROCA VS Raengdai
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

NEROCA

(Home)
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
28 Jul
TRAU FC
0 : 0
NEROCA
14 May
NEROCA
1 : 3
Sudeva Delhi
08 May
NEROCA
2 : 2
Karbi Anglong
26 Apr
United SC
1 : 0
NEROCA
Page 1 of 6

Raengdai

(Away)
03 Aug
TRAU FC
3 : 4
Raengdai
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0
Indian Navy
24 May
KLASA
0 : 1
Raengdai
22 May
Raengdai
2 : 0
TRAU FC
20 May
Baghpat
3 : 1
Raengdai
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 2 2 0 0 9:0 6
2 East Bengal 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
3 South United 3 1 0 2 2:13 3
4 CISF Protectors 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Samaleswari SC 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Mohammedan 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
4 Baghpat 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Delhi 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
2 Jamshedpur 2 1 0 1 6:2 3
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 Defenders FC 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raengdai 2 2 0 0 5:3 6
2 TRAU FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 NEROCA 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Langsning 2 1 1 0 7:2 4
3 Nongkseh 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Mumbay FC 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 2 2 0 0 10:1 6
2 Bodoland FC 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 FC 1 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Karbi Anglong 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)