Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018

Nerostellati Pratola

1 - 3

Aquila Calcio

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Aquila Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquila Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Nerostellati Pratola

30%

Draws

34%

Aquila Calcio

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nerostellati Pratola

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Aquila Calcio have won more games recently than Nerostellati Pratola.
Win probability leans Nerostellati Pratola's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 19%

Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nerostellati Pratola	Aquila Calcio
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	3	13
Draws	9	8
Losses	18	12
Goals Scored	0	1.38
Goals Conceded	0	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group F

Nerostellati Pratola vs Aquila Calcio

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 0 - 0

1:3

Sep 17, 2017 Serie D - Group F

Aquila Calcio vs Nerostellati Pratola

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nerostellati Pratola 36 / 100

Aquila Calcio 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nerostellati Pratola Aquila Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Aquila Calcio has conceded goals in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Solid form: Nerostellati Pratola remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nerostellati Pratola scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquila Calcio

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vis Pesaro	34	23	4	7	61:29	73
2	Matelica	34	22	5	7	66:28	71
3	Avezzano	34	16	14	4	51:26	62
4	Pineto	34	15	12	7	53:41	57
5	Aquila Calcio	34	15	10	9	57:40	55
6	ASD Francavilla	34	14	11	9	47:38	53
7	San Marino Calcio	34	15	6	13	45:35	51
8	Vastese	34	15	6	13	55:50	51
9	Sangiustese	34	13	9	12	39:41	48
10	Campobasso	34	13	10	11	41:40	45
11	Castelfidardo	34	12	8	14	43:54	44
12	Recanatese	34	12	7	15	47:47	43
13	Agnonese	34	11	8	15	34:35	41
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	11	7	16	42:51	40
15	Jesina	34	8	10	16	32:46	34
16	Monticelli	34	5	15	14	25:45	30
17	Fabriano Cerreto	34	5	5	24	29:69	20
18	Nerostellati Pratola	34	3	9	22	19:71	18