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Nerostellati Pratola vs Notaresco Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nerostellati Pratola play Notaresco Calcio in the Serie D - Group F 2017/2018. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nerostellati Pratola averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Notaresco Calcio averaged 0.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, Nerostellati Pratola won 0, Notaresco Calcio won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 22, 2018 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Nerostellati Pratola and 0.86 for Notaresco Calcio. This points to a Notaresco Calcio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nerostellati Pratola
39%
Draws
30%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Notaresco Calcio has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nerostellati Pratola.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 20%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nerostellati Pratola Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 3 17
Draws 9 14
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0 0.63
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Nerostellati Pratola
3:0
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Nerostellati Pratola vs Notaresco Calcio
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nerostellati Pratola 32 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nerostellati Pratola Notaresco Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nerostellati Pratola scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Notaresco Calcio let in goals in 58% of their last 43 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Nerostellati Pratola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Notaresco Calcio lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Notaresco Calcio
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vis Pesaro34234761:2973
2Matelica34225766:2871
3Avezzano341614451:2662
4Pineto341512753:4157
5Aquila Calcio341510957:4055
6ASD Francavilla341411947:3853
7San Marino Calcio341561345:3551
8Vastese341561355:5051
9Sangiustese341391239:4148
10Campobasso3413101141:4045
11Castelfidardo341281443:5444
12Recanatese341271547:4743
13Agnonese341181534:3541
14Notaresco Calcio341171642:5140
15Jesina348101632:4634
16Monticelli345151425:4530
17Fabriano Cerreto34552429:6920
18Nerostellati Pratola34392219:7118