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Nes Tziona vs Agudat Sport Ashdod

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025 Ness Ziona Stadium
Sat, Feb 22, 2025
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nes Tziona play Agudat Sport Ashdod in the Liga Alef South 2024/2025. Nes Tziona are favorites here. Recently, Nes Tziona averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Agudat Sport Ashdod averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Nes Tziona won 1, Agudat Sport Ashdod won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Feb 22, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Nes Tziona and 1.05 for Agudat Sport Ashdod. This points to a Nes Tziona double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nes Tziona
25%
Draws
15%
Agudat Sport Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nes Tziona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Nes Tziona picked up more points recently compared to Agudat Sport Ashdod.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.05 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Nes Tziona Clean Sheet 22%
Agudat Sport Ashdod Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nes Tziona Agudat Sport Ashdod
Matches Played 1 27
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 10
Goals Scored 1 1.56
Goals Conceded 2 0.96

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Liga Alef South
Nes Tziona vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Liga Alef South
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Nes Tziona
0:0
Apr 24, 2022 Leumit League
Nes Tziona vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
4:0
Mar 4, 2022 Leumit League
Nes Tziona vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
1:1
Dec 3, 2021 Leumit League
Agudat Sport Ashdod vs Nes Tziona
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nes Tziona 58 / 100
Agudat Sport Ashdod 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nes Tziona Agudat Sport Ashdod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nes Tziona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nes Tziona & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nes Tziona attacking → ← attacking Agudat Sport Ashdod

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nes Tziona scored in 100% of their last 1 games.

Agudat Sport Ashdod let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Nes Tziona went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Agudat Sport Ashdod lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00