Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nes Tziona vs Maccabi Yavne

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2024/2025 Ness Ziona Stadium
Sat, Feb 8, 2025
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Liga Alef South 2024/2025 encounter between Nes Tziona and Maccabi Yavne promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Nes Tziona averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded in recent matches. Maccabi Yavne shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Nes Tziona, 1 wins for Maccabi Yavne, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 08.02.25 ended in a 0:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.04 for Nes Tziona and 1.86 for Maccabi Yavne, suggesting the primary value lies in the Maccabi Yavne double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Nes Tziona
40%
Draws
30%
Maccabi Yavne
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Maccabi Yavne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Nes Tziona picked up more points recently compared to Maccabi Yavne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.86 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Nes Tziona Clean Sheet 10%
Maccabi Yavne Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nes Tziona Maccabi Yavne
Matches Played 1 28
Wins 0 15
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 7
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 2 1.29

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

08.02.25 Liga Alef South
Nes Tziona vs Maccabi Yavne
0:0
09.10.24 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Nes Tziona
0:0
28.03.18 Liga Alef South
Nes Tziona vs Maccabi Yavne
3:1
01.12.17 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Yavne vs Nes Tziona
0:1
22.04.13 Leumit League
Nes Tziona vs Maccabi Yavne
0:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Nes Tziona

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Maccabi Yavne

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nes Tziona 29 / 100
Maccabi Yavne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nes Tziona Maccabi Yavne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maccabi Yavne or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Nes Tziona 33%
Maccabi Yavne 24%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Nes Tziona 29%
Maccabi Yavne 32%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Nes Tziona 30%
Maccabi Yavne 30%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Nes Tziona 32%
Maccabi Yavne 29%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Nes Tziona 27%
Maccabi Yavne 33%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Nes Tziona 35%
Maccabi Yavne 35%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nes Tziona attacking → ← attacking Maccabi Yavne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nes Tziona have found the net in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Maccabi Yavne have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 28 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 1.40 goals per match.

Nes Tziona remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Maccabi Yavne suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 51
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ironi Modiin30188445:1962
2Beitar Nordia Jerusalem30175850:3456
3H. Herzliya30167746:3255
4Maccabi Yavne30166844:3354
5FC Dimona30156943:2951
6Holon Yermiyahu301211742:2947
7Jerusalem FC30129947:4145
8Maccabi Ironi Ashdod3010101035:3140
9Agudat Sport Ashdod301081244:3538
10Shimshon Tel Aviv309111033:3438
11Hapoel Marmorek306121229:3830
12Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Malachi306121222:3530
13Hapoel Azor30791428:4830
14Tzeirei Tira30781524:4429
15Hapoel Bnei Lod30851730:5829
16Maccabi Shaarayim30391824:4618
17Nes Tziona00000:00
18Shimshon Kafr Qasim00000:00