Sport Picks
Nesebar vs CSKA Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Nesebar at 2.79 goals for, 1.07 against; CSKA Sofia at 1.82 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Nesebar have won 0 to CSKA Sofia's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 19, 2017, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.75 - 1.81) back CSKA Sofia to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nesebar's 2.79 goals per match outpaces what CSKA Sofia have produced (1.82).
- 37% — that's where the model lands on CSKA Sofia taking it.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor CSKA Sofia, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- CSKA Sofia have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nesebar | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.79 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nesebar scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Defensive concern: CSKA Sofia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Nesebar remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
