Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nesebar vs Dobrudzha

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Gradski stadion, Nesebar
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kolev I.
18' Event
Dotsev V.
39'
Petkov T.

AI Match Summary

Nesebar in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Nesebar
35%
Draws
13%
Dobrudzha
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Nesebar have won more games recently than Dobrudzha.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Nesebar taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 68%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nesebar Dobrudzha
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 17
Goals Scored 2.86 0.96
Goals Conceded 1 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Dobrudzha
2:0
Feb 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Dobrudzha
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Nesebar
6:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Nesebar vs Dobrudzha
1:3
Dec 8, 2018 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Dobrudzha
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nesebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolev I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dotsev V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Dobrudzha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nesebar 95 / 100
Dobrudzha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nesebar Dobrudzha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nesebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nesebar's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dobrudzha has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Nesebar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nesebar VS Dobrudzha
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nesebar

(Home)
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Nesebar
1 : 1
Yantra Gabrovo
Page 1 of 6

Dobrudzha

(Away)
21 Sept
Dobrudzha
1 : 3
CSKA Sofia II
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
03 Sept
Gorna
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
29 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 0
Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 10 6 2 2 22:9 20
3 Fratria 10 5 4 1 14:8 19
4 Chernomorets 1919 10 5 3 2 16:8 18
5 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
6 Nesebar 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
7 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
8 Yantra Gabrovo 10 5 1 4 12:10 16
9 Beroe 10 4 3 3 15:12 15
10 Hebar 10 4 2 4 23:17 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 10 4 1 5 11:19 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
16 Svoge 10 2 4 4 7:9 10
17 Dobrudzha 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)