Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nesebar vs Dobrudzha

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Gradski stadion, Nesebar
Mon, Aug 10, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nesebar host Dobrudzha in the Vtora liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Nesebar at 3.63 goals for, 1.5 against; Dobrudzha at 1.5 for, 2.13 against. Head-to-head, Nesebar have won 1 to Dobrudzha's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (2.88 xG vs 1.50) point toward Nesebar. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Nesebar
22%
Draws
18%
Dobrudzha
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Nesebar have won more games recently than Dobrudzha.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Nesebar taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 16%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nesebar Dobrudzha
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 3.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Dobrudzha
1:1
Aug 13, 2024 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Nesebar
6:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Nesebar vs Dobrudzha
1:3
Dec 8, 2018 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Dobrudzha
3:1
Aug 4, 2018 Vtora liga
Dobrudzha vs Nesebar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nesebar 57 / 100
Dobrudzha 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nesebar Dobrudzha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nesebar's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Dobrudzha has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Nesebar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nesebar VS Dobrudzha
3.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nesebar

(Home)
25 Jul
Nesebar
1 : 5
Etar
08 Jul
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Nesebar
01 Jul
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Nesebar
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Zagorets
2 : 4
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

Dobrudzha

(Away)
02 Aug
Dobrudzha
0 : 0
Svoge
28 Jul
Dobrudzha
5 : 1
Pirin Blagoevgrad
18 Jul
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
Dobrudzha
11 Jul
Spartak Varna
7 : 3
Dobrudzha
08 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 2
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spartak Pleven22004:16
2Chernomorets 191921102:14
3Etar11005:13
4Dobrudzha11005:13
5Ludogorets II11001:03
6Beroe21012:23
7Marek21012:23
8Fratria21011:13
9Montana10102:21
10Svoge10102:21
11Vihren10101:11
12CSKA Sofia II10101:11
13Gorna10101:11
14Hebar10011:20
15Rilski Sportist20020:20
16Yantra Gabrovo10010:20
17Pirin Blagoevgrad10011:50
18Nesebar10011:50
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)