Sport Picks
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
Bulgaria
Vtora liga Gradski stadion, Nesebar 
Match Events
3'
3'
Ismailov R.
13'
13'
Ismailov R.
21'
21'
Sub
Orachev M. In: Dimanchev G.
Out: Orachev M.
AI Match Summary
Nesebar in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nesebar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nesebar lately — more wins on the board than Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Model gives Nesebar a 80% chance of winning this.
- Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 68%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nesebar | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.86 | 0.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.56 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
7:0
Mar 29, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar
5:1
Sep 15, 2024 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:5
Apr 20, 2019 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:3
Oct 6, 2018 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nesebar Compare
Top Goalscorer Ismailov R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kolev I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28
Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nesebar 95 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nesebar Pirin Blagoevgrad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nesebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nesebar's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Pirin Blagoevgrad conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.
Pirin Blagoevgrad lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nesebar VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nesebar
(Home) 15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1 Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0 Nesebar
29 Aug
Nesebar
1 : 1 Yantra Gabrovo
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
29 Aug
Nesebar
1 : 1 Yantra Gabrovo
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
10 Aug
Nesebar
2 : 0 Dobrudzha
25 Jul
Nesebar
1 : 5 Etar
Page 1 of 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
(Away) 13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3 Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3 Chernomorets 1919
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
23 Aug
Nesebar
7 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
09 Aug
Svoge
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
28 Jul
Dobrudzha
5 : 1 Pirin Blagoevgrad
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21:8 | 21 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Fratria | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Yantra Gabrovo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 16 |
| 5 | Chernomorets 1919 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 6 | Beroe | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 15 |
| 7 | Etar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Nesebar | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Marek | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 10 | Ludogorets II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Rilski Sportist | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Gorna | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 12 |
| 13 | Hebar | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18:17 | 11 |
| 14 | Montana | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | 11 |
| 15 | Spartak Pleven | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:19 | 10 |
| 16 | Svoge | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:7 | 7 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:30 | 0 |
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)
