Sport Picks
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Vtora liga Gradski stadion, Nesebar 
Match Events
3'
3'
Ismailov R.
13'
13'
Ismailov R.
21'
21'
Sub
Orachev M. In: Dimanchev G.
Out: Orachev M.
AI Match Summary
Nesebar in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 7-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nesebar lately — more wins on the board than Pirin Blagoevgrad.
- Model gives Nesebar a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 68%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nesebar | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 2.55 | 0.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
7:0
Mar 29, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar
5:1
Sep 15, 2024 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:5
Apr 20, 2019 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:3
Oct 6, 2018 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Nesebar
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nesebar Compare
Top Goalscorer Ismailov R.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kolev I.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nesebar 68 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nesebar Pirin Blagoevgrad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nesebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nesebar's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Pirin Blagoevgrad conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.
Pirin Blagoevgrad lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nesebar VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nesebar
(Home) 31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2 Chernomorets 1919
23 Oct
Hebar
2 : 1 Nesebar
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia II
04 Oct
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Nesebar
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Nesebar
1 : 2 Chernomorets 1919
18 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
10 Oct
Nesebar
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia II
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3 Beroe
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1 Rilski Sportist
Page 1 of 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
(Away) 30 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 2 Etar
23 Oct
Gorna
2 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
17 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 4 Hebar
10 Oct
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 1 Spartak Pleven
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Gorna
2 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3 Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0 Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29:13 | 28 |
| 2 | Chernomorets 1919 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 24:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Vihren | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 26:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Gorna | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 13:10 | 23 |
| 5 | Yantra Gabrovo | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Fratria | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 22 |
| 7 | Beroe | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Spartak Pleven | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 16:25 | 20 |
| 9 | Hebar | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 29:24 | 20 |
| 10 | Rilski Sportist | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 11 | Etar | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 12 | Ludogorets II | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 13 | Marek | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16:18 | 18 |
| 14 | Nesebar | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:21 | 18 |
| 15 | Montana | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18:29 | 14 |
| 16 | Svoge | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13:26 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5:38 | 1 |
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)
