Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Nesebar in this Third League - South-East 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nesebar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Nesebar lately — more wins on the board than Sliven.
- Nesebar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Nesebar have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nesebar | Sliven |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.94 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.60 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nesebar scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.
Sliven let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Nesebar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nesebar
(Home)Sliven
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 121:39 | 95 |
| 2 | OFC Haskovo | 38 | 30 | 3 | 5 | 97:26 | 93 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 38 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 122:22 | 93 |
| 4 | Gigant Saedinenie | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 81:43 | 71 |
| 5 | Zagorets | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 79:42 | 69 |
| 6 | Dimitrovgrad | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 60:40 | 67 |
| 7 | Botev II | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 84:55 | 61 |
| 8 | Atletik Kuklen | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 60:71 | 58 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 60:50 | 56 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 64:63 | 51 |
| 11 | Asenovets | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 59:73 | 48 |
| 12 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 65:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Sozopol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 57:53 | 46 |
| 14 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 59:75 | 40 |
| 15 | Levski Karlovo | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 56:91 | 38 |
| 16 | Yambol 1915 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 49:82 | 37 |
| 17 | Karnobat | 38 | 11 | 1 | 26 | 46:106 | 34 |
| 18 | Sliven | 38 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 42:127 | 30 |
| 19 | Sokol Markovo | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 36:98 | 27 |
| 20 | Beroe II | 38 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 26:108 | 20 |