Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nesebar vs Yantra Gabrovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Gradski stadion, Nesebar
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Parashkevov K.
46'
Sub
Ganchev M. In: Ivanov T.
Out: Ganchev M.
53'
Sub
Dotsev V. In: Kunev V.
Out: Dotsev V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Vtora liga matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nesebar
15%
Draws
39%
Yantra Gabrovo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nesebar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Nesebar have won more games recently than Yantra Gabrovo.
  • Nesebar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Nesebar Clean Sheet 68%
Yantra Gabrovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nesebar Yantra Gabrovo
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.79 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Yantra Gabrovo
1:1
Apr 13, 2025 Vtora liga
Yantra Gabrovo vs Nesebar
0:0
Oct 6, 2024 Vtora liga
Nesebar vs Yantra Gabrovo
0:3
Jan 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Nesebar vs Yantra Gabrovo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nesebar Compare

Top Goalscorer Parashkevov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Yantra Gabrovo Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nesebar 95 / 100
Yantra Gabrovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nesebar Yantra Gabrovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nesebar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nesebar scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Yantra Gabrovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Nesebar stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nesebar VS Yantra Gabrovo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nesebar

(Home)
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
06 Sept
Nesebar
2 : 1
Rilski Sportist
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
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Yantra Gabrovo

(Away)
27 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
13 Sept
Rilski Sportist
2 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)