Sport Picks

Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2013

Sparta Sarpsborg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nesodden II play Sparta Sarpsborg in the Division 3 - Group 1 2013. Sparta Sarpsborg are favorites here. Recently, Nesodden II averaged 1.2 goals scored and 4.4 conceded. Sparta Sarpsborg averaged 1.76 goals scored and 3.11 conceded. In past meetings, Nesodden II won 0, Sparta Sarpsborg won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2013 ended 2:8. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Nesodden II and 1.24 for Sparta Sarpsborg. This points to a Sparta Sarpsborg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%

Nesodden II

15%

Draws

68%

Sparta Sarpsborg

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Sarpsborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence

Nesodden II picked up more points recently compared to Sparta Sarpsborg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 91%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%

Nesodden II Clean Sheet 19%

Sparta Sarpsborg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 82%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nesodden II	Sparta Sarpsborg
Matches Played	30	37
Wins	3	10
Draws	1	4
Losses	26	23
Goals Scored	1.2	1.76
Goals Conceded	4.4	3.11

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2013 Division 3 - Group 1

Nesodden II vs Sparta Sarpsborg

Possession: 51% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

2:8

Jun 24, 2013 Division 3 - Group 1

Sparta Sarpsborg vs Nesodden II

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nesodden II 19 / 100

Sparta Sarpsborg 63 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nesodden II Sparta Sarpsborg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Sarpsborg Win (2)

Secondary Pick Sparta Sarpsborg & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +88.9%

11.11

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nesodden II attacking → ← attacking Sparta Sarpsborg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nesodden II scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Sparta Sarpsborg let in goals in 86% of their last 37 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Nesodden II went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sparta Sarpsborg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

10 Points in last 5 34

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38