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Netherlands U17 W vs Mexico U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Sub
Sanchez D. In: Ruiz S.
Out: Sanchez D.
64'
Sub
Altena A. In: Dap R.
Out: Altena A.
65'
Sub
Derks R. In: Van Hunnik S.
Out: Derks R.

AI Match Summary

Netherlands U17 W play Mexico U17 W in the World Cup Women U17 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Netherlands U17 W averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Mexico U17 W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. In past meetings, Netherlands U17 W won 1, Mexico U17 W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 5, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Netherlands U17 W and 1.13 for Mexico U17 W. This points to a Netherlands U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Netherlands U17 W
22%
Draws
60%
Mexico U17 W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Netherlands U17 W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Mexico U17 W.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Mexico U17 W.
  • Cup tournament structure in World Cup Women U17 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Netherlands U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U17 W Mexico U17 W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 22 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Netherlands U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
1:0
Oct 21, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Netherlands U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:1
Sep 17, 2012 Friendly International Women
Netherlands U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Touzani L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mexico U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U17 W 20 / 100
Mexico U17 W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U17 W Mexico U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MEX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U17 W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Mexico U17 W let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Netherlands U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mexico U17 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U17 W VS Mexico U17 W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 13%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Brazil U17 W3
China U17 W0
Canada U17 W6
Zambia U17 W0
North Korea U17 W6
Morocco U17 W1
Japan U17 W4
Colombia U17 W0
Spain U17 W0
France U17 W1
USA U17 W1
Netherlands U17 W2
Mexico U17 W1
Paraguay U17 W0
Italy U17 W4
Nigeria U17 W0
Quarter-finals
Brazil U17 W1
Canada U17 W0
North Korea U17 W5
Japan U17 W1
France U17 W2
Netherlands U17 W3
Mexico U17 W1
Italy U17 W0
Semi-finals
Brazil U17 W0
North Korea U17 W2
Netherlands U17 W1
Mexico U17 W0
Final
North Korea U17 W3
Netherlands U17 W0
Brazil U17 W1
Mexico U17 W2