Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands U19 vs Spain U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026 Estadio Municipal Guillermo Amor, Benidorm
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Salinas J.
Assist: Yanez D.
59'
Sub
Kluivert S. In: van den Elshout T.
Out: Kluivert S.
59'
Sub
Kraaijeveld T. In: Koller J.
Out: Kraaijeveld T.

AI Match Summary

Spain U19 in this Euro U19 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spain U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Netherlands U19
15%
Draws
51%
Spain U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U19 have won more games recently than Netherlands U19.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Spain U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Netherlands U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Spain U19 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U19 Spain U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 25
Draws 3 3
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 2.14 2.87
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U19
Netherlands U19 vs Spain U19
0:3
Sep 3, 2025 Friendly International
Netherlands U19 vs Spain U19
0:1
Jun 26, 2025 Euro U19
Spain U19 vs Netherlands U19
0:1
Mar 26, 2019 Euro U19
Netherlands U19 vs Spain U19
0:1
Nov 11, 2016 Friendly International
Spain U19 vs Netherlands U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spain U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U19 10 / 100
Spain U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U19 Spain U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Netherlands U19 scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Netherlands U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Spain U19 let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U19 VS Spain U19
1.75 Goals Scored 3.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U19

(Home)
24 Sept
Netherlands U19
1 : 1
Belgium U19
31 Mar
Netherlands U19
0 : 3
Spain U19
31 Mar
Faroe Islands U19
0 : 3
Netherlands U19
28 Mar
Netherlands U19
4 : 0
North Macedonia U19
28 Mar
Netherlands U19
2 : 1
Slovenia U19
Page 1 of 6

Spain U19

(Away)
11 Jul
Spain U19
2 : 0
Germany U19
08 Jul
Spain U19
3 : 0
Croatia U19
04 Jul
Spain U19
4 : 0
Germany U19
01 Jul
Denmark U19
0 : 3
Spain U19
28 Jun
Wales U19
0 : 7
Spain U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Austria U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Greece U19 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Sweden U19 3 0 2 1 4:7 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 England U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Portugal U19 3 1 1 1 2:7 4
4 Poland U19 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 France U19 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Switzerland U19 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Norway U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Czech Republic U19 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Latvia U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 1 1 1:1 4
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Romania U19 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Turkey U19 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Hungary U19 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Slovakia U19 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Netherlands U19 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Finland U19 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Slovenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Main)