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Stadium Background

Netherlands U19 vs Wales U19

World World

Friendly International 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Barton M.
(Penalty)
66' Event
Walker-Smith C.

AI Match Summary

Wales U19 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wales U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Netherlands U19
15%
Draws
20%
Wales U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Netherlands U19 have won more games recently than Wales U19.
  • Win probability leans Netherlands U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Netherlands U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Wales U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U19 Wales U19
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.14 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.17 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Friendly International
Netherlands U19 vs Wales U19
0:2
Mar 20, 2019 Euro U19
Wales U19 vs Netherlands U19
1:2
Nov 15, 2013 Euro U19
Netherlands U19 vs Wales U19
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Wales U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Walker-Smith C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U19 85 / 100
Wales U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U19 Wales U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U19 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Wales U19 conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Netherlands U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U19 VS Wales U19
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U19

(Home)
24 Sept
Netherlands U19
1 : 1
Belgium U19
31 Mar
Netherlands U19
0 : 3
Spain U19
31 Mar
Faroe Islands U19
0 : 3
Netherlands U19
28 Mar
Netherlands U19
4 : 0
North Macedonia U19
28 Mar
Netherlands U19
2 : 1
Slovenia U19
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Wales U19

(Away)
04 Jul
Denmark U19
3 : 0
Wales U19
01 Jul
Wales U19
0 : 4
Germany U19
28 Jun
Wales U19
0 : 7
Spain U19
08 Jun
Sweden U18
3 : 1
Wales U19
05 Jun
Qatar U20
0 : 2
Wales U19
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