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Netherlands U21 vs Denmark U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Futbal Tatran Aréna, Prešov
Netherlands U21 Logo

Netherlands U21

1 - 2
FT
Denmark U21 Logo

Denmark U21

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Provstgaard O.
Own Goal
35' Event
Osula W.
Assist: Sorensen O.
47' Event
Osula W.
Assist: Fraulo O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Denmark U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denmark U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Netherlands U21
20%
Draws
38%
Denmark U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netherlands U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Netherlands U21 have won more games recently than Denmark U21.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Denmark U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 Denmark U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.17 1.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Denmark U21
1:2
Nov 17, 2010 Friendly International
Denmark U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:3
May 26, 2006 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Denmark U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osula W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 28 / 100
Denmark U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 Denmark U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Denmark U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Netherlands U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS Denmark U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

Denmark U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
14 Nov
Denmark U21
1 : 1
USA U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Italy U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Slovakia U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Romania U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 England U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Czech Republic U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Slovenia U21 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 France U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Georgia U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Poland U21 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Netherlands U21 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ukraine U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Finland U21 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)