Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands U21 vs Denmark U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Futbal Tatran Aréna, Prešov
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Provstgaard O.
Own Goal
35' Event
Osula W.
Assist: Sorensen O.
47' Event
Osula W.
Assist: Fraulo O.

AI Match Summary

Denmark U21 in this Euro U21 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Denmark U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Netherlands U21
33%
Draws
40%
Denmark U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Denmark U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Netherlands U21 have won more games recently than Denmark U21.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Denmark U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 19%
Denmark U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 Denmark U21
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2025 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Denmark U21
1:2
Nov 17, 2010 Friendly International
Denmark U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:3
May 26, 2006 Euro U21
Denmark U21 vs Netherlands U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Denmark U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Osula W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 28 / 100
Denmark U21 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 Denmark U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U21's goal record stands at 97% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Denmark U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Netherlands U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS Denmark U21
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 7

Denmark U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
18 Nov
Belarus U21
0 : 1
Denmark U21
14 Nov
Denmark U21
1 : 1
USA U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Denmark U21
1 : 1
Austria U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U2132106:47
2Italy U2132103:17
3Slovakia U2131024:53
4Romania U2130032:50
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U2133009:39
2England U2131114:34
3Czech Republic U2131025:73
4Slovenia U2130120:51
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U2132109:07
2France U2132107:37
3Georgia U2131024:83
4Poland U2130032:110
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U2132107:57
2Netherlands U2131115:44
3Ukraine U2131024:53
4Finland U2130214:62
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)