Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21

World World

Friendly International 2024 Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Jatta S.
Assist: Arnstad K.
13'
Taylor K.
18' Event
van Bommel R.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Netherlands U21 and Norway U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Netherlands U21
22%
Draws
18%
Norway U21
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Netherlands U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Netherlands U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Netherlands U21 a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 17%
Norway U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 Norway U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Netherlands U21
3:2
Mar 21, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21
1:2
Mar 25, 2023 Friendly International
Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21
3:0
Sep 8, 2020 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Norway U21
2:0
Oct 15, 2019 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer van Bommel R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Norway U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schjelderup A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 57 / 100
Norway U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 Norway U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U21 found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Norway U21 conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Netherlands U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS Norway U21
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
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Norway U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 1
Norway U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
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