Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Netherlands U21 vs Slovenia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Addai J.
23'
Zukic D.
46'
Sub
Young M. In: Dijkstra E.
Out: Young M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Netherlands U21 and Slovenia U21 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Netherlands U21
20%
Draws
29%
Slovenia U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netherlands U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Netherlands U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Netherlands U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Netherlands U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Netherlands U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Slovenia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands U21 Slovenia U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Slovenia U21
2:0
Nov 15, 2005 Euro U21
Netherlands U21 vs Slovenia U21
2:0
Nov 12, 2005 Euro U21
Slovenia U21 vs Netherlands U21
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zechiel G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poku E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Slovenia U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands U21 68 / 100
Slovenia U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands U21 Slovenia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands U21 scored in 97% of their last 29 games.

Slovenia U21 has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Netherlands U21 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands U21 VS Slovenia U21
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands U21

(Home)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Israel U21
3 : 1
Netherlands U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Lithuania U21
Page 1 of 6

Slovenia U21

(Away)
05 Jun
Slovenia U21
1 : 1
Albania U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Nov
Netherlands U21
2 : 0
Slovenia U21
14 Oct
Slovenia U21
0 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 7 2 2 3 12:6 8
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 7 0 0 7 0:39 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 5 3 1 1 11:2 10
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 6 1 1 4 7:9 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)