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Netherlands vs Algeria

World World

Friendly International De Kuip, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Verbruggen B. In: Roefs R.
Out: Verbruggen B.
46'
Sub
van Dijk V. In: Ake N.
Out: van Dijk V.
46'
Sub
Summerville C. In: Kluivert J.
Out: Summerville C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Netherlands and Algeria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Algeria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Netherlands
20%
Draws
33%
Algeria
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Algeria come out ahead of Netherlands on wins alone.
  • Netherlands are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Netherlands Clean Sheet 14%
Algeria Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands Algeria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 18
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.37 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Friendly International
Netherlands vs Algeria
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Algeria Compare

Top Goalscorer Hadj Moussa A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands 57 / 100
Algeria 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands Algeria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Netherlands's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Netherlands remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Algeria conceded in 50% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands VS Algeria
2 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
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Algeria

(Away)
03 Jul
Switzerland
2 : 0
Algeria
28 Jun
Algeria
3 : 3
Austria
23 Jun
Jordan
1 : 2
Algeria
17 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Algeria
11 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Algeria
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