Sport Picks
Netherlands vs Germany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam 
Match Events
12'
12'
van Dijk V.
22'
22'
Timber Q.
24'
24'
van Hecke J. P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Netherlands
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Netherlands haven't matched Germany's recent run of results.
- Netherlands are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Netherlands Clean Sheet 12%
Germany Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Netherlands | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 17 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.35 | 2.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Netherlands vs Germany
1:1
Oct 14, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Germany vs Netherlands
1:0
Sep 10, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Netherlands vs Germany
2:2
Mar 26, 2024 Friendly International
Germany vs Netherlands
2:1
Mar 29, 2022 Friendly International
Netherlands vs Germany
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Netherlands Compare
Top Goalscorer Gakpo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Germany Compare
Top Goalscorer Nmecha F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Netherlands 56 / 100
Germany 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Netherlands Germany
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Netherlands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Netherlands's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Germany's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Netherlands stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Netherlands VS Germany
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Netherlands
(Home) 04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1 Serbia
01 Oct
Greece
2 : 2 Netherlands
27 Sept
Serbia
1 : 2 Netherlands
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1 Germany
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2 Morocco
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Netherlands
2 : 1 Serbia
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1 Germany
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2 Morocco
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1 Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2 Japan
Page 1 of 4
Germany
(Away) 04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0 Germany
01 Oct
Germany
2 : 0 Serbia
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1 Greece
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1 Germany
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2 Paraguay
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Greece
0 : 0 Germany
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1 Germany
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1 Germany
06 Jun
USA
1 : 2 Germany
27 Mar
Switzerland
3 : 4 Germany
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
