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Netherlands vs Iceland

World World

Friendly International 2024 De Kuip, Rotterdam
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Simons X.
Assist: Dumfries D.
46'
Sub
Traustason A. In: Thordarson S. T.
Out: Traustason A.
49' Event
van Dijk V.
Assist: Ake N.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Netherlands and Iceland finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Netherlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Netherlands
30%
Draws
12%
Iceland
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Netherlands come out ahead of Iceland on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Netherlands taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Netherlands Clean Sheet 68%
Iceland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Netherlands Iceland
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.43 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Friendly International
Netherlands vs Iceland
4:0
Sep 3, 2015 Euro
Netherlands vs Iceland
0:1
Oct 13, 2014 Euro
Iceland vs Netherlands
2:0
Jun 6, 2009 World Championship
Iceland vs Netherlands
1:2
Oct 11, 2008 World Championship
Netherlands vs Iceland
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Netherlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Simons X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van Dijk V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Iceland Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Netherlands 95 / 100
Iceland 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Netherlands Iceland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Netherlands scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Iceland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Netherlands has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Netherlands VS Iceland
2 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Netherlands

(Home)
30 Jun
Netherlands
1 : 2
Morocco
25 Jun
Tunisia
1 : 3
Netherlands
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
14 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 2
Japan
08 Jun
Netherlands
2 : 1
Uzbekistan
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Iceland

(Away)
10 Jun
Argentina
3 : 0
Iceland
31 May
Japan
1 : 0
Iceland
31 Mar
Haiti
1 : 1
Iceland
28 Mar
Canada
2 : 2
Iceland
26 Feb
Mexico
4 : 0
Iceland
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